Trading Signal Performance For The Index Portfolio

 


Backtest Results For The TrendSensor Index Portfolio:

Trade Parameters

(TrendSensor_Trading_Signal_Performance-For_Index)

 

Trade Parameters

Initial Capital:                                            $50,000.00

Portfolio Limit:                                               100.00%

Maximum number of open positions:                                   40

Position Size Model:                                Fixed Percent Risk

Percentage of capital risked per trade:                          2.00%

Position size limit:                                             4.00%

Portfolio Heat:                                                 55.00%

Pyramid profits:                                                   Yes

Transaction cost (Trade Entry):                                 $10.00

Transaction cost (Trade Exit):                                  $10.00

Margin Requirement:                                             13.00%

 

 

Detailed Report

(TrendSensor_Trading_Signal_Performance-For_Index)

 

Simulation Summary

Simulation Date:                                            23/03/2007

Simulation Time:                                          4:36:58 p.m.

Simulation Duration:                                      3.13 seconds

 

Trade Summary

Earliest Entry Date in the Trade Database:                   19-Jun-98

Latest Entry Date in the Trade Database:                     02-Mar-07

Earliest Exit Date in the Trade Database:                    30-Jun-98

Latest Exit Date in the Trade Database:                      06-Mar-07

 

Start Trade Entry Date:                                      29-Apr-99

Stop Trade Entry Date:                                       02-Mar-07

First Entry Date:                                            29-Apr-99

Last Entry Date:                                             02-Mar-07

First Exit Date:                                             07-Jun-99

Last Exit Date:                                              06-Mar-07

 

Total Trading duration:                                      2868 days

 

Profit Summary

Profit Status:                                              PROFITABLE

Starting Capital:                                           $50,000.00

Finishing Capital:                                         $649,290.53

Maximum Equity/(Date):                         $599,290.53 (06-Mar-07)

Minimum Equity/(Date):                          -$1,624.09 (08-Jun-99)

Gross Trade Profit:                             $812,787.30 (1625.57%)

Gross Trade Loss:                              -$213,496.77 (-426.99%)

Total Net Profit:                               $599,290.53 (1198.58%)

Average Profit per Trade:                                    $1,132.87

Profit Factor:                                                  3.8070

Profit Index:                                                   73.73%

Total Transaction Cost:                                     $10,580.00

Total Slippage:                                                  $0.00

Daily Compound Interest Rate:                                  0.0894%

Annualized Compound Interest Rate:                            38.5821%

 

Trade Statistics

Trades Processed:                                                  529

Trades Taken:                                                      529

Partial Trades Taken:                                                0

Trades Rejected:                                                     0

Winning Trades:                                           272 (51.42%)

Losing Trades:                                            257 (48.58%)

Breakeven Trades:                                            0 (0.00%)

 

Normal Exit Trades:                                      529 (100.00%)

Delayed Normal Exit Trades:                                  0 (0.00%)

Open Trades:                                                 0 (0.00%)

Protective Stop Exit Trades:                                 0 (0.00%)

Time Stop Exit Trades:                                       0 (0.00%)

Profit Stop Exit Trades:                                     0 (0.00%)

 

Largest Winning Trade/(Date):                   $23,665.66 (12-Dec-06)

Largest Losing Trade/(Date):                    -$5,864.03 (27-Dec-06)

Average Winning Trade:                                       $2,988.19

Average Losing Trade:                                        -$830.73

Average Win/Average Loss:                                       3.5971

 

Trade Duration Statistics

(All Trades)

Maximum Trade Duration:                                     310 (days)

Minimum Trade Duration:                                       0 (days)

Average Trade Duration:                                      39 (days)

(Winning Trades)

Maximum Trade Duration:                                     310 (days)

Minimum Trade Duration:                                       1 (days)

Average Trade Duration:                                      62 (days)

(Losing Trades)

Maximum Trade Duration:                                     105 (days)

Minimum Trade Duration:                                       0 (days)

Average Trade Duration:                                      14 (days)

 

Consecutive Trade Statistics

Maximum consecutive winning trades:                                 17

Maximum consecutive losing trades:                                  26

Average consecutive winning trades:                               3.13

Average consecutive losing trades:                                2.95

 

Trade Expectation Statistics

Normalized Expectation per dollar risked:                      $0.4400

Maximum Reward/Risk ratio:                                        9.01

Minimum Reward/Risk ratio:                                       -3.33

Average Positive Reward/Risk ratio:                               1.49

Average Negative Reward/Risk ratio:                              -0.66

 

Relative Drawdown

Maximum Dollar Drawdown/(Date):                 $21,292.17 (07-Nov-02)

Maximum Percentage Drawdown/(Date):               23.0000% (07-Nov-02)

 

Absolute (Peak-to-Valley) Dollar Drawdown

Maximum Dollar Drawdown:                         $23,715.06 (21.4500%)

Capital Peak/(Date):                           $110,585.15 (03-May-04)

Capital Valley/(Date):                          $86,870.09 (09-Aug-04)

 

Absolute (Peak-to-Valley) Percent Drawdown

Maximum Percentage Drawdown:                     23.0000% ($21,292.17)

Capital Peak/(Date):                            $92,565.57 (23-Aug-02)

Capital Valley/(Date):                          $71,273.40 (07-Nov-02)

 

Performance Summary Report

(TrendSensor_Trading_Signal_Performance-For_Index)

 

All Trades

Trades Taken:                                                      529

Total Net Profit:                                          $599,290.53

Average Trade Profit:                                        $1,132.87

Maximum Trade Profit:                                       $23,665.66

Minimum Trade Profit:                                       -$5,864.03

Break Even Trades:                                                   0

Winning Trades:                                                    272

Losing Trades:                                                     257

Percent Profitable:                                             51.42%

Average Winning Trade Profit:                                $2,988.19

Average Losing Trade Profit:                                  -$830.73

 

Long Trades

Trades Taken:                                                      282

Total Net Profit:                                          $519,947.82

Average Trade Profit:                                        $1,843.79

Maximum Trade Profit:                                       $23,665.66

Minimum Trade Profit:                                       -$3,244.37

Break Even Trades:                                                   0

Winning Trades:                                                    153

Losing Trades:                                                     129

Percent Profitable:                                             54.26%

Average Winning Trade Profit:                                $4,057.33

Average Losing Trade Profit:                                  -$781.58

 

Short Trades

Trades Taken:                                                      247

Total Net Profit:                                           $79,342.72

Average Trade Profit:                                          $321.23

Maximum Trade Profit:                                       $16,563.23

Minimum Trade Profit:                                       -$5,864.03

Break Even Trades:                                                   0

Winning Trades:                                                    119

Losing Trades:                                                     128

Percent Profitable:                                             48.18%

Average Winning Trade Profit:                                $1,613.57

Average Losing Trade Profit:                                  -$880.26