Trading Signal Performance For The Jumbo Portfolio

 


Backtest Results For The TrendSensor Jumbo Portfolio:

Trade Parameters

(TrendSensor_Trading_Signal_Performance-For_Jumbo)

 

Trade Parameters

Initial Capital:                                           $50,000.00

Portfolio Limit:                                              100.00%

Maximum number of open positions:                                  45

Position Size Model:                               Fixed Percent Risk

Percentage of capital risked per trade:                         2.00%

Position size limit:                                            2.50%

Portfolio Heat:                                                45.00%

Pyramid profits:                                                  Yes

Transaction cost (Trade Entry):                                $10.00

Transaction cost (Trade Exit):                                 $10.00

Margin Requirement:                                            12.00%

 

 

 

Detailed Report

(TrendSensor_Trading_Signal_Performance-For_Jumbo)

 

Simulation Summary

Simulation Date:                                           29/03/2007

Simulation Time:                                         6:04:16 p.m.

Simulation Duration:                                     4.89 seconds

 

Trade Summary

Earliest Entry Date in the Trade Database:                  21-Jun-94

Latest Entry Date in the Trade Database:                    14-Mar-07

Earliest Exit Date in the Trade Database:                   17-Aug-94

Latest Exit Date in the Trade Database:                     27-Mar-07

 

Start Trade Entry Date:                                     25-Apr-96

Stop Trade Entry Date:                                      14-Mar-07

First Entry Date:                                           25-Apr-96

Last Entry Date:                                            14-Mar-07

First Exit Date:                                            10-Jul-96

Last Exit Date:                                             27-Mar-07

 

Total Trading duration:                                     3988 days

 

Profit Summary

Profit Status:                                             PROFITABLE

Starting Capital:                                          $50,000.00

Finishing Capital:                                        $706,347.49

Maximum Equity/(Date):                        $691,293.46 (07-Mar-07)

Minimum Equity/(Date):                            $209.33 (10-Jul-96)

Gross Trade Profit:                          $1,082,008.69 (2164.02%)

Gross Trade Loss:                             -$425,661.20 (-851.32%)

Total Net Profit:                              $656,347.49 (1312.69%)

Average Profit per Trade:                                     $669.74

Profit Factor:                                                 2.5419

Profit Index:                                                  60.66%

Total Transaction Cost:                                    $19,600.00

Total Slippage:                                                 $0.00

Daily Compound Interest Rate:                                 0.0664%

Annualized Compound Interest Rate:                           27.4259%

 

Trade Statistics

Trades Processed:                                                 981

Trades Taken:                                                     980

Partial Trades Taken:                                               0

Trades Rejected:                                                    0

Winning Trades:                                          498 (50.82%)

Losing Trades:                                           482 (49.18%)

Breakeven Trades:                                           0 (0.00%)

 

Normal Exit Trades:                                      976 (99.59%)

Delayed Normal Exit Trades:                                 0 (0.00%)

Open Trades:                                                4 (0.41%)

Protective Stop Exit Trades:                                0 (0.00%)

Time Stop Exit Trades:                                      0 (0.00%)

Profit Stop Exit Trades:                                    0 (0.00%)

 

Largest Winning Trade/(Date):                  $22,340.31 (26-Sep-05)

Largest Losing Trade/(Date):                  -$25,916.03 (09-Jun-05)

Average Winning Trade:                                      $2,172.71

Average Losing Trade:                                        -$883.11

Average Win/Average Loss:                                      2.4603

 

Trade Duration Statistics

(All Trades)

Maximum Trade Duration:                                    310 (days)

Minimum Trade Duration:                                      0 (days)

Average Trade Duration:                                     43 (days)

(Winning Trades)

Maximum Trade Duration:                                    310 (days)

Minimum Trade Duration:                                      1 (days)

Average Trade Duration:                                     65 (days)

(Losing Trades)

Maximum Trade Duration:                                    182 (days)

Minimum Trade Duration:                                      0 (days)

Average Trade Duration:                                     21 (days)

 

Consecutive Trade Statistics

Maximum consecutive winning trades:                                18

Maximum consecutive losing trades:                                 35

Average consecutive winning trades:                              3.28

Average consecutive losing trades:                               3.17

 

Trade Expectation Statistics

Normalized Expectation per dollar risked:                     $0.4300

Maximum Reward/Risk ratio:                                      15.73

Minimum Reward/Risk ratio:                                      -5.99

Average Positive Reward/Risk ratio:                              1.49

Average Negative Reward/Risk ratio:                             -0.67

 

Relative Drawdown

Maximum Dollar Drawdown/(Date):                $33,077.68 (07-Nov-02)

Maximum Percentage Drawdown/(Date):              20.8700% (07-Nov-02)

 

Absolute (Peak-to-Valley) Dollar Drawdown

Maximum Dollar Drawdown:                        $47,127.52 (29.7300%)

Capital Peak/(Date):                          $158,498.04 (23-Aug-02)

Capital Valley/(Date):                        $111,370.52 (05-Jun-03)

 

Absolute (Peak-to-Valley) Percent Drawdown

Maximum Percentage Drawdown:                    29.7300% ($47,127.52)

Capital Peak/(Date):                          $158,498.04 (23-Aug-02)

Capital Valley/(Date):                        $111,370.52 (05-Jun-03)

 

Performance Summary Report

(TrendSensor_Trading_Signal_Performance-For_Jumbo)

 

All Trades

Trades Taken:                                                     980

Total Net Profit:                                         $656,347.49

Average Trade Profit:                                         $669.74

Maximum Trade Profit:                                      $22,340.31

Minimum Trade Profit:                                     -$25,916.03

Break Even Trades:                                                  0

Winning Trades:                                                   498

Losing Trades:                                                    482

Percent Profitable:                                            50.82%

Average Winning Trade Profit:                               $2,172.71

Average Losing Trade Profit:                                 -$883.11

 

Long Trades

Trades Taken:                                                     490

Total Net Profit:                                         $562,628.95

Average Trade Profit:                                       $1,148.22

Maximum Trade Profit:                                      $22,340.31

Minimum Trade Profit:                                     -$25,916.03

Break Even Trades:                                                  0

Winning Trades:                                                   263

Losing Trades:                                                    227

Percent Profitable:                                            53.67%

Average Winning Trade Profit:                               $2,972.99

Average Losing Trade Profit:                                 -$965.93

 

Short Trades

Trades Taken:                                                     490

Total Net Profit:                                          $93,718.54

Average Trade Profit:                                         $191.26

Maximum Trade Profit:                                      $13,827.69

Minimum Trade Profit:                                      -$5,736.27

Break Even Trades:                                                  0

Winning Trades:                                                   235

Losing Trades:                                                    255

Percent Profitable:                                            47.96%

Average Winning Trade Profit:                               $1,277.08

Average Losing Trade Profit:                                 -$809.39